Credit Stress Testing During a Pandemic
Date / Time: Thursday, May 14, 2020 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM
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Join special guest, Justin Bakst, from Darling Consulting Group, LLC for this complimentary webinar.
How Bad is Our Credit Exposure this Time Around?
Every sector of the economy is feeling the impact of the novel coronavirus. From corporate America to the service industry, the wealthy, middle class, and lower income - the everyday life of everyday Americans has been disrupted, leading financial institutions to justifiably question the future health of their loan portfolios. Can they withstand a potentially prolonged period of financial stress?
While there are no credit vaccines to prevent a recession/credit downturn cycle, there are ways that risk managers can measure the vulnerability of their institution and check the temperature of their capital. Stress testing, especially credit stress testing, has been used by financial institutions to determine the financial health of their books.
In this webinar, we will discuss the relationship between credit losses and macro-economic variables over the past several decades (which includes several credit events like the Great Recession) – and how this relationship should be applied to the current pandemic that our economy faces. We will discuss the impact to capital levels, in various stress scenarios (from the Fed’s Adverse to DCG’s pandemic scenario) and implementing loss curves into the capital plan.
Highlights of the webinar include:
- Quantifying downside credit risk in varying economic stresses
- Forecasting among uncertainty – analyzing credit risk in a “pandemic” based economy
- Strategic considerations through a stress testing project
- How credit stress testing can inform/support contingency planning
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